Lagos state Coronavirus cases may rise to 39,000 – Lagos state Commissioner for Health

Lagos state commissioner for health said that the state may see up to 39,000 cases of Coronavirus, COVID-19 in a worst-case scenario.

Lagos state commissioner for health, Akin Abayomi, while speaking at a media briefing in Lagos on Friday said that the state is definitely “doing something right” as it has been able to contain and limit the spread of the Coronavirus disease.

He said with social distancing, the figure could be limited to 13,000 cases.

“Our mathematical modelling shows that the worst-case scenario is that we may see up to 39,000 cases in Lagos, but if everyone practises good social distancing, the figure will be limited to 13,000.

“If we add social distancing to active contact tracing, then we will be able to bend the curve further. The figures may seem alarming at this point, but this is just to emphasise to the Lagos community to follow instructions of the incident commander to make sure that we practice social distancing.

“Looking at the same timeframe from the introduction of the index case, you can see that Lagos State is not seen anywhere near what Spain, Italy, and Iran are showing. So, at weeks two and three of our index case, we are flat; and at week four, we have 37 cases; while at the same fourth week, Italy, Iran, and Spain had more than 20,000 cases.”